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Qual 422007 Palmetto Regional
Red18
28111.4
105119.0
18762.3
Blue2
13903.2
8034.6
20920.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20180406080182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1051
#18
19.00.1
14.6→14.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.5
803
#19
4.61.4
10.5→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
281
#33
11.40.1
5.5→5.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.2
1390
#32
3.20.8
5.3→4.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1876
#34
2.30.1
-0.4→-0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
2092
#43
0.91.4
2.6→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—