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Red88
162632.1
38611.8
136921.4
Blue2
125142.1
15396.2
8047.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6337050100150882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.4
35.737.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
42.11.9
25.223.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.42.0
18.520.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
804
#9
7.33.2
4.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
386
#26
11.81.4
5.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1539
#17
6.22.8
10.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End