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Red24
8034.6
162632.1
84515.4
Blue0
28111.4
10266.8
18762.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7416050100150200240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.12.1
39.237.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.8
281
#33
11.41.5
13.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
845
#6
15.42.8
19.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
1026
#35
6.81.6
8.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
803
#19
4.63.1
7.74.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1876
#34
2.31.6
0.8-0.9
Auto
Teleop
End