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Qual 72007 Palmetto Regional
Red2
20920.9
8034.6
13684.4
Blue10
136921.4
21872.8
8047.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811020406080100210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
803
#19
4.60.5
2.0→1.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 16.9
1369
#7
21.40.0
7.5→7.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1368
#39
4.40.5
5.7→5.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.8
804
#9
7.30.0
2.2→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2092
#43
0.90.7
0.9→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.9
2187
#42
2.82.1
2.8→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—