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Quarterfinal 2-22007 San Diego Regional
Red12
16412.3
162227.3
201910.2
Blue16
13885.3
18529.4
153813.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433101001501216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#17
27.30.5
27.8→27.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.5
1538
#30
13.80.3
15.3→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2019
#4
10.20.7
10.9→10.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
1852
#5
9.40.3
10.7→10.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1641
#27
2.30.7
3.0→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.0
1388
#13
5.30.3
6.5→6.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—