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Qual 512007 San Diego Regional
Red80
36815.2
21028.9
162227.3
Blue8
13885.3
8422.3
19170.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5211020406080100120140160808

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#17
27.31.7
29.8→31.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.0
1388
#13
5.30.4
10.4→10.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
368
#7
15.21.8
12.5→14.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.9
842
#43
2.30.4
4.9→4.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2102
#24
8.92.8
4.5→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.0
1917
#29
0.90.4
0.8→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—