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Red60
8124.3
12169.0
203219.6
Blue6
162227.3
20291.0
6913.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27450100150200250300350606

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.62.4
18.120.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
1622
#17
27.31.8
30.028.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1216
#20
9.01.6
6.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
691
#11
3.41.8
5.94.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
812
#33
4.31.6
3.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2029
#31
1.01.8
6.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End