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Qual 722007 San Diego Regional
Red16
15667.8
58514.3
2066-3.0
Blue4
15102.3
1972-4.4
8422.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25-1406080100120164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
585
#10
14.30.3
15.1→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.0
1510
#38
2.30.1
2.0→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1566
#16
7.80.3
9.0→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.5
842
#43
2.30.1
3.5→3.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2066
#23
-3.00.4
-2.6→-3.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
1972
#45
-4.40.1
-3.2→-3.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—