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Red60
171730.9
1159-1.0
16412.3
Blue2
1332-4.0
1704-0.6
2949.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31250100150602

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.6
29.531.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.9
294
#22
9.00.2
9.49.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1641
#27
2.32.5
1.43.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1704
#35
-0.60.2
-0.4-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1159
#32
-1.02.1
-3.1-1.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1332
#46
-4.00.2
-3.7-4.0
Auto
Teleop
End