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Red79
7513.5
151627.1
11416.2
Blue4
6922.1
6045.1
17006.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363100150200250300350794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.13.9
24.028.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.5
1700
#12
6.50.2
2.62.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
#2
16.23.4
6.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
604
#34
5.10.3
4.24.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
751
#40
3.53.9
1.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
692
#28
2.10.3
0.50.2
Auto
Teleop
End