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Red64
15604.8
5684.8
98729.3
Blue4
5817.1
9731.9
20355.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206406080100120140160644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#4
29.33.8
16.720.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
581
#42
7.10.3
5.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
568
#26
4.83.8
2.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2035
#27
5.60.3
-0.6-0.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4.83.8
-0.23.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
973
#14
1.90.3
3.12.8
Auto
Teleop
End