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Red4
1153.2
13511.3
183410.2
Blue15
2135-1.0
6245.4
9731.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211406080100415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1834
#20
10.21.2
11.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
624
#10
5.41.0
4.55.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
115
#38
3.21.2
4.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
973
#14
1.91.0
1.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1351
#39
1.31.2
2.51.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2135
#31
-1.01.0
-1.9-1.0
Auto
Teleop
End