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Qual 702007 Lone Star Regional
Red32
14854.4
2157-2.1
16422.3
Blue8
177232.1
1296-1.9
457-4.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58320100150200250328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#7
54.41.1
53.9→52.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.3
1772
#5
32.11.4
36.5→35.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1642
#20
2.31.6
2.8→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.2
1296
#48
-1.92.0
0.8→-1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2157
#35
-2.11.8
-2.1→-3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.2
457
#52
-4.32.1
-2.1→-4.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—