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Red32
12551.1
114.6
20452.3
Blue4
18170.5
36418.5
15130.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12240406080100324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
#8
14.60.9
14.715.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
364
#10
18.50.9
21.520.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2045
#17
2.31.6
-1.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1817
#24
0.51.4
-0.4-1.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1255
#38
1.11.5
-0.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1513
#40
0.41.3
1.30.0
Auto
Teleop
End