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Red34
15998.6
12628.5
5393.6
Blue12
16106.6
5405.3
14135.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511501001502002503412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#11
8.61.7
6.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1610
#54
6.60.0
5.05.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1262
#12
8.51.7
6.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
540
#48
5.30.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
539
#22
3.61.7
1.33.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1413
#34
5.30.0
6.26.3
Auto
Teleop
End