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Red30
9006.1
6176.3
188514.1
Blue2
18950.4
92814.5
6192.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23260406080302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#17
14.10.5
11.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
928
#4
14.51.9
15.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
617
#20
6.30.5
6.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
619
#51
2.81.9
5.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
900
#39
6.10.5
6.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1895
#45
0.41.9
3.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End