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Red19
3463.8
21071.9
109515.4
Blue2
1093-2.5
3451.7
21065.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253406080100120140192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.40.3
16.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
2106
#25
5.50.3
5.85.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
346
#13
3.80.3
4.03.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
345
#55
1.70.3
2.11.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2107
#50
1.90.3
2.11.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1093
#60
-2.50.3
-2.2-2.5
Auto
Teleop
End