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Red22
21756.3
20394.7
93017.0
Blue64
53719.7
219411.2
216917.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225001001502264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#19
17.00.1
16.216.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
537
#11
19.70.4
18.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.30.1
5.55.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
17.60.5
16.817.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2039
#30
4.70.1
4.03.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
2194
#20
11.20.5
10.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End