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Red32
7066.6
216917.6
16523.2
Blue8
21297.4
16751.1
7543.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13140203040506070328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.61.5
6.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
2129
#41
7.40.4
4.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
706
#14
6.61.5
7.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
754
#46
3.80.4
1.51.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1652
#43
3.21.5
-0.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1675
#51
1.10.4
7.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End