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Red6
22642.2
819.9
20394.7
Blue2
17160.9
22071.8
15254.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6100203040506062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81
#22
9.90.0
6.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
1525
#52
4.70.6
6.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2039
#30
4.70.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2207
#24
1.80.6
0.90.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2264
#18
2.20.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1716
#48
0.90.6
1.40.8
Auto
Teleop
End