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Red4
20772.9
110319.9
21362.2
Blue0
22322.3
2696.3
18649.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51640608010040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1103
#31
19.90.2
4.64.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
1864
#36
9.41.2
3.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2077
#26
2.90.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
269
#50
6.31.2
8.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2136
#10
2.20.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2232
#44
2.31.2
1.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End