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Red0
21433.5
17160.9
17116.2
Blue4
171411.8
1670.9
21362.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions580203040506004

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
#4
16.20.6
4.23.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
11.80.2
2.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2143
#17
3.53.3
3.50.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2136
#10
2.21.6
2.20.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1716
#48
0.90.6
1.91.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
167
#32
0.90.2
3.02.8
Auto
Teleop
End