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Red2
22322.3
20526.2
12595.8
Blue4
21756.3
17160.9
8577.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91002030405024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#12
6.20.6
4.23.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
857
#23
7.40.4
4.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1259
#33
5.80.6
4.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
6.30.4
3.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2232
#44
2.30.6
0.5-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1716
#48
0.90.4
0.80.4
Auto
Teleop
End