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Red8
10914.5
21433.5
206211.7
Blue12
20772.9
13069.7
22071.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137020406080100120140812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.70.3
5.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1306
#13
9.70.3
7.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1091
#47
4.50.3
4.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2077
#26
2.90.3
0.61.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2143
#17
3.50.3
1.61.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2207
#24
1.80.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End