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Red0
219411.2
7543.8
1739-1.0
Blue8
22642.2
173215.6
12681.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81602040608008

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#20
11.20.8
4.23.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
1732
#35
15.60.6
10.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
754
#46
3.80.8
2.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2264
#18
2.20.6
0.1-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1739
#39
-1.00.8
2.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1268
#42
1.20.6
4.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End