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Red0
7066.6
21160.8
17415.9
Blue15
181614.9
2696.3
21756.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1724010304050607080015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#14
6.61.5
9.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
14.90.7
11.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1741
#29
5.91.5
7.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
269
#50
6.30.7
7.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2116
#45
0.81.5
1.5-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
6.30.7
3.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End