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Red2
16751.1
2696.3
22024.6
Blue4
18501.1
21160.8
13069.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1612040608010012014024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
269
#50
6.31.2
6.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1306
#13
9.70.7
9.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4.61.2
6.35.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1850
#40
1.10.7
3.42.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1675
#51
1.11.2
2.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2116
#45
0.80.7
-0.0-0.8
Auto
Teleop
End