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Red4
20470.7
22322.3
16234.1
Blue2
1670.9
22642.2
16751.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91105152025303542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1623
#15
4.10.5
5.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2264
#18
2.20.7
3.83.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2232
#44
2.30.5
2.31.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1675
#51
1.10.7
1.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2047
#16
0.70.5
2.31.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
167
#32
0.90.7
5.04.3
Auto
Teleop
End