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Red6
20470.7
7066.6
21534.8
Blue2
22642.2
819.9
17160.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13140102030405062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#14
6.60.6
6.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
81
#22
9.90.9
10.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2153
#27
4.80.6
5.44.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
2264
#18
2.20.9
3.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2047
#16
0.70.6
1.81.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1716
#48
0.90.9
-0.3-1.1
Auto
Teleop
End