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Red32
21160.8
17160.9
13069.7
Blue2
20470.7
21433.5
7543.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411020304050607080322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#13
9.72.0
7.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
754
#46
3.80.6
4.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1716
#48
0.92.0
-1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2143
#17
3.50.6
4.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2116
#45
0.82.3
-2.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2047
#16
0.70.6
1.20.7
Auto
Teleop
End