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Red4
20470.7
12681.2
22274.6
Blue0
20394.7
222514.1
12595.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions480203040506040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2227
#21
4.63.9
4.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
2225
#38
14.114.0
14.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1268
#42
1.20.0
2.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
1259
#33
5.80.6
5.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2047
#16
0.711.1
11.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
2039
#30
4.74.6
4.70.1
Auto
Teleop
End