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Red82
18115.6
55519.7
8392.9
Blue0
263-2.7
57115.2
17334.0
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3716050100150820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
Unranked
19.70.8
18.219.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
571
Unranked
15.20.3
15.815.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
181
Unranked
15.60.8
14.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
1733
Unranked
4.00.3
4.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
Unranked
2.90.8
2.02.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
263
Unranked
-2.70.3
-2.1-2.4
Auto
Teleop
End