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Red2
4027.5
12128.4
5622.8
Blue4
1667.6
10582.1
102710.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5816010015020024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
28.40.9
26.625.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.9
1027
Unranked
10.60.3
10.810.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40
Unranked
27.50.9
25.724.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.0
166
Unranked
7.60.3
7.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
562
Unranked
2.80.9
1.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1058
Unranked
2.10.3
2.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End