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Red25
115322.7
16857.4
27116.8
Blue8
4027.5
5622.8
12128.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46630100150200250300350400258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
Unranked
22.70.4
23.122.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
121
Unranked
28.40.9
29.328.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
Unranked
16.80.4
17.116.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
40
Unranked
27.50.9
28.427.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1685
Unranked
7.40.4
7.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
562
Unranked
2.80.9
3.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End