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Red2
130215.5
1667.6
10582.1
Blue16
16878.8
1259.3
22810.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4124050100150200216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1302
Unranked
15.51.8
17.916.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
228
Unranked
10.50.6
9.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
166
Unranked
7.61.8
17.215.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
125
Unranked
9.30.5
12.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1058
Unranked
2.12.2
3.61.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
1687
Unranked
8.80.6
4.33.6
Auto
Teleop
End