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Red83
17620.1
8095.9
12128.4
Blue6
8814.6
1667.6
17319.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57550204080100120140836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
28.41.3
26.027.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
173
Unranked
19.72.4
25.523.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
Unranked
20.11.3
22.323.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
88
Unranked
14.62.4
16.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
809
Unranked
5.91.3
8.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
166
Unranked
7.62.4
12.510.1
Auto
Teleop
End