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Red25
663-2.7
19011.7
147410.8
Blue64
55519.7
4027.5
16857.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125601001502564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
Unranked
11.70.4
14.314.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.8
40
Unranked
27.50.6
24.024.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1474
Unranked
10.80.4
7.37.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
555
Unranked
19.70.6
18.919.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
663
Unranked
-2.70.5
-4.2-3.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
1685
Unranked
7.40.6
8.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End