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Red18
263-2.7
2381.3
4027.5
Blue2
2104-5.4
23011.0
13506.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2614020406080100120182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40
Unranked
27.50.3
24.624.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
230
Unranked
11.00.7
10.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
238
Unranked
1.30.3
1.91.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1350
Unranked
6.30.7
7.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
263
Unranked
-2.70.3
-1.7-2.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2104
Unranked
-5.40.7
-3.5-4.2
Auto
Teleop
End