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Red2
147410.8
4674.0
1259.3
Blue80
22810.5
1667.6
13506.3
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3524050100150200280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
Unranked
10.82.1
11.59.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
228
Unranked
10.53.4
5.89.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
125
Unranked
9.31.6
14.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
166
Unranked
7.62.8
14.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
467
Unranked
4.01.6
8.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1350
Unranked
6.34.0
4.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End