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Red82
190221.1
172716.2
17126.8
Blue64
204813.9
244914.8
11623.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6145020801001208264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
#19
26.81.3
26.327.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
116
#46
23.20.8
21.322.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1902
#15
21.11.2
16.517.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
2449
#82
14.81.1
12.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1727
#18
16.21.2
16.117.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2048
#67
13.90.8
13.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End