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Red80
109419.7
132319.1
198719.2
Blue84
137911.7
22224.0
81627.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5756203040507080901008084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1094
#78
19.71.2
20.221.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
816
#6
27.51.3
25.126.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1987
#16
19.21.2
19.821.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
222
#47
24.01.3
23.124.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1323
#53
19.11.2
16.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1379
#68
11.71.3
9.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End