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Red32
17955.6
216616.5
262417.7
Blue64
177120.3
234213.9
137911.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42412030506070803264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2624
#30
17.70.5
18.718.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1771
#50
20.31.1
18.719.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2166
#33
16.50.5
16.315.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
2342
#81
13.91.1
12.914.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1795
#84
5.60.5
6.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
1379
#68
11.71.1
10.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End