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Red40
262417.7
244914.8
251816.6
Blue50
242414.3
174623.3
15479.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514602060801001201404050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2624
#30
17.70.5
18.217.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
1746
#13
23.30.2
23.123.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2518
#36
16.60.5
17.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2424
#40
14.30.2
14.214.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2449
#82
14.80.5
15.414.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1547
#62
9.40.2
9.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End