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Red30
49810.8
6874.4
21286.6
Blue10
9918.8
578.3
13246.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213304060801003010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#28Sur
10.80.7
8.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
991
#40Sur
8.81.8
7.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2128
#41
6.60.7
7.78.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
57
#33
8.31.8
11.79.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
687
#52
4.40.7
5.56.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1324
#44
6.51.8
12.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End