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Red16
25925.8
24132.8
15155.0
Blue4
12903.6
9968.5
24147.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1823010304050607080164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2592
#25
5.80.2
5.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
996
#14
8.51.5
6.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1515
#39
5.00.2
8.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2414
#27
7.01.5
10.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2413
#37
2.80.2
4.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1290
#46
3.61.5
5.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End