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Red30
101110.7
22265.1
19267.8
Blue22
6248.9
172612.0
18974.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232704060801001201403022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#21
10.70.5
10.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1726
#12
12.00.4
13.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1926
#36
7.80.5
7.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
624
#38
8.90.4
8.68.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2226
#49
5.10.5
6.06.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1897
#50
4.00.4
4.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End