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Red42
16336.6
25707.2
16431.8
Blue0
21962.1
24132.8
18525.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1318030405060420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2570
#31
7.22.4
3.05.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1852
#45
5.51.4
7.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1633
#11
6.62.4
7.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2413
#37
2.81.4
4.73.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1643
#48
1.82.4
2.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2196
#47
2.11.4
5.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End