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Red0
101110.7
16431.8
578.3
Blue2
25798.3
149210.1
16336.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273002040608002

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#21
10.72.3
11.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1492
#23
10.12.3
9.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
57
#33
8.32.3
11.18.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2579
#18
8.32.3
10.17.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1643
#48
1.82.3
5.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
1633
#11
6.62.3
9.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End