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Red36
25707.2
17989.0
26579.8
Blue22
244913.2
13246.5
21286.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182601030405060703622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2657
#35
9.81.4
8.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
2449
#15
13.20.2
9.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1798
#19
9.01.4
4.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2128
#41
6.60.2
6.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2570
#31
7.21.4
5.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1324
#44
6.50.2
7.87.6
Auto
Teleop
End