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Red32
177220.2
138210.3
18608.4
Blue48
25756.7
115618.0
22478.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413102060801003248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.2
20.420.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
18.00.3
17.718.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1382
#12
10.30.2
10.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
8.90.3
8.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1860
#13
8.40.2
8.68.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
6.70.4
6.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End